BarcelonaThe coincidence of the Cerdán case and the Montoro case has led to an unprecedented situation in Spanish politics: both major parties, the PP and PSOE, have been affected by corruption scandals of a similar magnitude and nature. Until now, corruption had led to more or less abrupt endings to political cycles, such as the Felipe González administration for the PSOE or the Rajoy administration for the PP, but an election had never been reached in a situation, let's say, of a dead heat. And everything indicates that in the next elections, whenever they may be, both parties will have ammunition to fire at their opponents and mobilize their own supporters.
This situation currently benefits the PSOE more than the PP, since the PP was confident of reaching the Moncloa office almost by inertia and in a climate of the end of a cycle like that of Felipe González during the 1993-1996 term. On the contrary, the Montoro case could have two very pernicious effects on the interests of Alberto Núñez Feijóo. On the one hand, it can mobilize left-wing voters, and on the other, it can cause them to lose votes to the far-right Vox party. Polls are already detecting a notable increase in Santiago Abascal's support, which, in turn, will serve as a scarecrow for the PSOE.
The Socialists have increasingly fine-tuned their machinery and have the ability to derail the Popular Party, as demonstrated every day by Óscar Puente's tweets and Noelia Núñez's resignation. On the other hand, the PP is a victim of its own anxiety to reach the Moncloa and frequently goes too far, as when it insists on the subject of the "saunas" belonging to Begoña Gómez's father, the wife of the Spanish prime minister. And one important aspect: right now, and with all necessary precautions, it seems the PSOE has the Cerdán case under control (if you will) more control than Feijóo has the Montoro case, which they insist on downplaying due to another miscalculation. And it seems they have no chance of fine-tuning any prosecutor's office here, nor, with the Mossos d'Esquadra in the middle, of having any friendly police force.
