A poll by Compromís places Vox as the most voted party in the Valencian Community

ValenciaA poll commissioned by Compromís places Vox as the leading party in the Valencian Community, with 24.4% of the vote and between 25 and 26 seats, and Compromís in second place, with 23.7% of the vote and also between 25 and 26 representatives. If this result were to materialize, it would mean that the far right would double its number of seats and the Valencian nationalists would gain between 10 and 11 seats. The survey, which ARA has accessed, was conducted by the firm GFK between December 9 and 19, 2025, through 1,025 telephone and online inquiries, and has a margin of error of +/-3.1%. The poll was carried out before the Adamuz train accident and a year and a half before the elections. According to the poll results, Vox and Compromís would narrowly outperform the PP and the PSPV, who would win between 24 and 25 seats. The PP would obtain 23.3% of the vote and the PSPV 21.7%. Neither Podemos nor Izquierda Unida, which the poll presents separately, would come close to the 5% threshold required to gain representation in the Valencian Parliament.

The survey also includes an assessment of political leaders. The best performer is the spokesperson for the Valencian nationalists, Joan Baldoví, who receives an average score of 5 out of 10 points and is the only one to pass. He is followed by the general secretary of the PSPV (Socialist Party of the Valencian Country), Diana Morant, with a 4.2; the Valencian president, Juanfran Pérez Llorca, with a 4.1; and the Vox spokesperson, José María Llanos, with a 3.4. The poll also includes data on name recognition of potential candidates. Again, the most favored by the results is Baldoví, who has a 71% name recognition, followed by Llorca with 57%, Morant with 54%, and Llanos with 38%. The Valencian nationalist party has included a question about former vice president Mónica Oltra, who is awaiting the resolution of her legal situation. The progressive leader received the second-highest grade (4.4), although she also failed. However, she is the most well-known, with a 77% approval rating.