Donald Trump with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
3 min

Direct US intervention in the war between Israel and Iran This opens up a range of possible repercussions, not only for that conflict but also within the American power structure. On the one hand, it could anticipate, and even accelerate, the outcome of the military conflict, while on the other, it could create problems for the movement led by Donald Trump in his country. In any case, there is no doubt that it strengthens Benjamin Netanyahu's position in Israel.

Netanyahu, in fact, is the big winner of Sunday's session, although it is not certain that Israel will emerge victorious in the medium and long term. Netanyahu wins because his rapport with Trump is a guarantee for the next four years. during which Netanyahu wants to reorganize the Middle East according to Israel's interests. But Israel's future also depends on how the Republican Party evolves.

In recent days, there have been strong tensions within the party between those who support intervening against Iran, an enemy of the Zionist state, and those who have an isolationist orientation and believe that the United States should avoid participating in world conflicts; and in this case even more so, because Washington already provides Israel with all the weapons it needs and there is no need for it to become directly involved.

There is a traditional current within the Republican Party that believes that, to sustain world peace, the United States must intervene militarily outside its borders. In this way, a world order is maintained that favors the intense economic and commercial activity they need to function, and also for the rest of the world to function.

But within the Republican MAGA movement (Make America great again), an isolationist movement, there are many discrepancies with the traditional approach, and they prefer to stay out of international politics, which corrupts the purity of the United States. Steve Bannon, very upset, asked this week Who is Benjamin Netanyahu for wanting to drag Trump into war?

Naturally, Netanyahu is aware of the divisions within the Republican Party and does not want to appear as an actor directly involved in American politics. That's why he continually repeats that he decides what is best for Israel and that Trump must decide what is best for the United States, and he assures that Tel Aviv is not behind Washington's direct military intervention.

The reality is that Israel is not a foreign policy issue in the United States, and Trump's attack on Iran demonstrates this. In the American elections themselves, the issue of the Zionist state figures most prominently in the electoral clash, mainly in the Republican Party, but also among the Democrats. This is probably the most deeply rooted debate in the electoral campaigns, considering that The influence of the Zionist lobby is considerable in both parties.

Change of trend

In recent years, American sympathy for Israel has declined. Although it remains the majority, this sympathy has visibly diminished in the case of the Democratic Party, particularly among young people, and has also declined, albeit to a lesser extent, among the younger segments of the Republican Party.

This trend is being observed with concern in Israel. Netanyahu is cultivating closer ties with the Republican Party, a fact for which he is heavily criticized at home. Logically, with the current president in the White House, Netanyahu has no choice but to go all in with the Trump card. Although the Israeli media suggests this, Netanyahu would under no circumstances want it to appear that he is dragging Trump into war. This would be bad for the Republican Party and also for Israel, which is already awaiting the Iranian response, but it is what is happening.

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