Antoni Bassas' analysis: 'Juntos gives the PSOE weeks to comply'
Juntos now has a reasonable expectation that there can be a good agreement on immigration sooner rather than later. When? Not this week. They want to do it right “without rushing to get a headline.”
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Politics has become a competition in which at the end of each day the points scored by the contenders are counted, and yesterday's scoreboard showed two big winners: Pedro Sánchez and Salvador Illa.
Pedro Sánchez because Junts withdrew the proposal to ask him to stand for a vote of confidence, while continuing to secure the support of Esquerra thanks to forgive 17 billion euros in the Generalitat in the form of FLA interests, which is an agreement he reached with Esquerra to be invested as president of the government despite having lost the elections.
And Salvador Illa and his negotiating team, with the Minister of the Presidency, Albert Dalmau, at the forefront, because he agreed with the State that Catalonia will have 25,000 Mossos in 2030 (3,000 more than planned), that a State-Generalitat consortium is created to improve the degree of compliance with the investment of the State budget and that there will be another 60 judges in the Catalan courts within three years. It is the Island style, to make progress on pending issues always within the current legality and taking advantage of the tailwind that means that Sánchez and he are in the same situation of dependence on the independence parties.
And from there we go to the topic of the Withdrawal of the Junts vote of confidence.
You will remember that yesterday we were already wondering, before it was known that Junts would withdraw the request on the issue, if the mediator had not given Junts a landing strip to withdraw the move without appearing to back out of the bet. Because, in effect, if the mediator asked for it, Junts had something to hold on to in order to justify that after more than two months of hanging the threat over Sánchez's head, it withdrew it at the last moment. Why did it do so? Well, because Junts now has a reasonable expectation that there can be a good agreement on immigration sooner rather than later. When? Not this week. They want to do it well "without rushing to look for a headline." And not only on immigration. Now Junts say that the PSOE has the last opportunity to comply. How long will this opportunity last before Junts launches into calling for elections? Well, until before the summer, because in fact the mediator speaks of weeks.
Seeking the prestige of the mediator to make a decision may not be the last time this happens. If Junts never considers letting Sánchez down, it will do so based on a document from the mediator that makes it clear that the PSOE has failed to meet its commitments. And here ends the chapter on the question of confidence.
Good morning.