As happened three years ago, the right-wing bloc starts with an advantage in the general election race. There is approximately one month left until the elections, and the average for the PP and Vox is situated above 190 seats, comfortably above the 176 that mark an absolute majority: demoscopy predicts a slight fall for the Popular Party, theoretically compensated by the rise of the extreme right. But as also happened in 2023, as the election day approaches, the distance pointed out by the demographic studies is narrowing. Campaigns suit Pedro Sánchez better than Alberto Núñez Feijóo. Do the left—and its sovereignist partners—have room to turn the results around?

Yesterday, theA survey by the Center for Opinion Studies offered some results which seem entirely probable, because they predicted a significant rise of the far right in Catalonia: