Taking advantage of the joint event held this Tuesday by the Valencian Parliament (Les Corts) to celebrate the longest-standing Constitution in history, the CIS (Spanish Center for Sociological Research) survey for February included questions about the Constitution. 82.3% of Spaniards believe it has contributed to the advancement of social rights in Spain, but even more believe it needs some reform. Specifically, according to the institute headed by José Félix Tezanos, 84.3% of citizens believe the current Constitution "needs some reform"—66.5% think these should be "significant" changes, while 32.1% believe they should be "minor" reforms. In order of priority, respondents believe modifications are needed regarding "social, economic, and labor rights," while the form of government—monarchy or republic—is only mentioned by 13.8%.

Today that The CEO survey shows a rise for Vox and the Catalan Alliance again., it is an appropriate day to remember that neither of these two parties has the solution to the problems of Catalan society, because they live off hatred of immigrants (especially Muslims) and, in the case of Vox, also of the Catalan nation.

If the forecasts of the latest CEO Barometer were to be fulfilled On the high side of the fork, and if Vox were to obtain 14 deputies in the Parliament of Catalonia, and Aliança Catalana 11, their total (the extreme right-wing groups add up, even if one calls itself Spanish and the other declares itself pro-independence) would be 25 deputies, that is, 18.5% of representation. Almost 20% of ultra-nationalist deputies is a percentage that some will find scarce compared to the parliaments of other countries (the extreme right is the third force in Spain and Germany, the second in France, and directly governs in Italy), but in any case it is a worrying percentage.

Republican Left of Catalonia (ERC) and the Socialists' Party of Catalonia both obtained 33 seats in the last Catalan elections, on February 14, 2021 on a frenetic election night. One year later, the two parties are still neck and neck, making their candidates favourites if new elections to Parliament were held now. The Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió has published its first poll of 2022 this Thursday (the first since the end of 2020), placing the Socialists on an upward surge to between 34 and 39 seats, with between 23% and 29% of the vote share, slightly ahead of the Republicans, who would also rise to 33-38 seats with 20-25% of the vote. The survey blurs the option of a triple tie as the one that almost occurred a year ago and points to the decline of JxCat, which would fall from the current 32 seats to a range of between 23 and 28 (13-18% share of the vote).

Never before had pro-independence parties exceeded 50% in an election. The 14-F consolidated ERC, Junts and CUP's absolute majority in Parliament and allowed them to continue governing, despite the low turnout (the lowest in a Catalan election). This result, however, has no direct translation to a possible referendum on self-determination: 48.7% of Catalans are against independence, against 44.9% in favour, according to a survey by Centre d'Estudis d'Opinió (CEO) published on Friday. The figures are, more or less, the same as they have been since July 2019, when no was again ahead of yes (between October 2017 and July 2019 yes was majoritarian).

There are less than two weeks left for Parliament to invest a new President before repeat elections are called. The Centre for Sociological Research (CIS) published this Thursday a survey showing what options Catalans prefer to break the deadlock: the preferred formula is the three-way left-wing coalition (PSC, ERC and En Comú Podem) or at least the presence of several of these parties in the government, which convinces 31.2% of respondents, ahead of a pro-independence government (ERC, Junts and CUP), which is preferred by 23.2%. The ERC government alone is only liked by 5.7% of those surveyed. However, the preferences do not coincide with respondents' forecasts: 50.7% believe that the deadlock will be broken thanks to an executive shared by pro-independence forces.