Demoscopy

Two out of three Catalans want to limit the entry of immigrants

The percentage has increased by twenty points compared to two years ago.

03/02/2026

BarcelonaA growing number of Catalans believe that the influx of immigrants into the country should be curbed. Specifically, almost two out of three citizens are in favor of limiting their arrival (63.7%), a figure that has increased by almost 20 percentage points compared to two years ago. This is one of the findings of the latest survey by the Institute of Political and Social Sciences (ICPS), published this Tuesday. The survey was based on 2,000 face-to-face interviews conducted between October 13 and November 22, 2025, with a margin of error of 2.2%. The director of the institute, Oriol Bartomeus, emphasized that this figure is almost identical to that of 1993. "There is a short-term worsening, but not if we compare it to the long term," he said, after noting that in the last twenty years the foreign population "has increased tenfold."

Why has the number of people who believe that immigration should be limited increased again in the last two years? According to Bartomeus, it's due to "the agenda effect," meaning that this issue has been placed at the center of political debate, projecting "negative opinions." If we break down this opinion by political party, it's among Junts voters where the opinion that immigration should be curbed is growing the most. "We associate this with the emergence of Aliança Catalana," Bartomeus said. Aliança voters are, in fact, the ones who most strongly demand barriers to immigration, followed by those of Vox, PP, and Junts.

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Young men continue to lean more to the right.

The current survey also detects a consolidation of the trend among young men to position themselves ideologically further to the right. In fact, while a year ago this trend was prevalent among 18- to 24-year-olds, this position has now expanded to include the 25- to 34-year-old age group (increasing by 20 points). This ideological position has also increased by 17 points among younger women, aged 18 to 24.

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The tendency to position oneself further to the right is a generational dynamic that began with those born in 1986. Those born between 1950 and 1985 have a more progressive profile. In fact, this trend is repeated when it comes to evaluating democracy as a political system. 63.6% of those born in 2006 support this system, a percentage that contrasts sharply with those born before the return to democracy, who support it at a rate of 85%.

Younger men are also the most reluctant to accept feminist positions. In fact, this position has declined compared to a year ago: from 57.7% to just over 50%. Although women between 18 and 24 years old remain the most feminist, this proportion has decreased compared to a year ago. On average, support for the concept feminism It has decreased in the last two years: it has gone from 67% to 59%.

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The "no" vote for independence remains in the majority.

The "no" vote for independence remains the majority at 55.6%, although it has dropped one percentage point compared to a year ago. Support for independence thus stands at 38%. The poll confirms that Aliança Catalana voters are the least in favor of independence among the pro-independence parties. Only 56% of voters in Orriols declare themselves pro-independence, while 44% would support remaining in Spain. Esquerra voters are the next least in favor of independence compared to Aliança Catalana: 67.8% declare themselves pro-independence. This is the electorate that has changed its opinion the most compared to 2018: back then, those who wanted independence represented 83.6%. CUP voters have the highest percentage of support for an independent state (86.5%), although this support has also declined compared to 2018 (92.6%). Something similar is happening among Junts voters, where 85.3% declare themselves pro-independence, a lower percentage than the 90.6% in 2018.

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The evaluation of political leaders

Salvador Illa remains the preferred political leader to be president of the Generalitat (Catalan government), and in fact, he is almost the only one whose support has increased compared to the poll from a year ago. Only Silvia Orriols, leader of Aliança Catalana, has seen a surge as the preferred candidate for president: she is now favored by 8.8% (compared to 2.6% a year ago). This percentage is at the expense of those who want Carles Puigdemont, leader of Junts, to preside over the Generalitat: while 14.5% preferred him a year ago, that percentage is now 10.2%. Oriol Junqueras, leader of ERC, remains in third place, almost tied with Puigdemont, with 10.1% support. Orriols is the leader who receives the most positive rating among her voters (8.65). And, as other polls have shown in recent months, the leader of Aliança Catalana is the second most highly regarded political figure among both Junts and Vox voters. "This demonstrates the broad appeal of Silvia Orriols," Bartomeus stated.