Last CIS survey before the elections: the PSOE would win and PP and Vox would not add up to an absolute majority

It is one of the biggest polls that have been done until now, with 45,074 interviews

1 min
The president of the Spanish Government and PSOE candidate for reelection, Pedro Sánchez (center), during a campaign event at the Euskalduna Palace in Bilbao.
12/11/2026 - 17:38 h

MadridThe latest CIS poll before the start of the electoral campaign on November 29th and, as is usual, differs from the rest of the published polls. According to the public body led by José Félix Tezanos, as of today the PSOE would win the elections while the PP and Vox would not add up to an absolute majority. In the best of cases, in fact, the right and the extreme right would remain at 171 seats, five short of the count needed to govern. According to this poll, the PP would obtain between 98-106 seats (it currently has 136), while Vox would achieve an increase to between 57 and 65 deputies (it currently has 33). That is to say, according to this poll, Alberto Nuñez Feijóo would suffer a very significant electoral defeat and, on the contrary, Santiago Abascal would emerge greatly strengthened by the result.

Things would also go very well for Pedro Sánchez. Although the PSOE currently has 122 seats in the Congress of Deputies, in the upcoming elections, after a legislature full of turbulence, the Spanish president would not only resist, but according to the CIS would reach a range of between 134 and 143 deputies.

Despite following the same trend as the previous ones, this poll is conducted with a much broader field study than the others and the rest of the surveys, as 45,074 interviews have been carried out.

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