The mystery of Vox's polls

Grab your magnifying glass and we'll have a laugh. The World publishes an electoral survey and says: "The Trump effect knocks down Vox after four months of growth." And The reason publishes another one, which says: "The Mazón effect hurts the PP: Vox and Sumar benefit from the DANA." Thus, in the wonderful quantum world of paper demoscopy, we find that Abascal's people go up and down at the same time. They must be Galician. The explanation, of course, is in what we could call the effect effect. That is, the tendency of the media to arbitrarily assign causes to the rises and falls that they themselves cook up in their polls so that everything fits perfectly with the editorial line they promote. You have the conclusion that you want and, in the headline, you put that this is because of theeffect X, Y or Z, and below. You have to keep in mind that people have told you how they would vote but not why, so this assignment of a specific explanation is really just an expression of the media's wishes.

In the case ofThe World, sees that if Vox continues to lean even further towards the far right, it will become difficult for the PP to be able to reach an agreement without losing centrist support. From another position, The reason He knows that Feijóo's urgency is to get rid of the burden of a Carlos Mazón who gets bogged down every time he opens his mouth to offer a new and unlikely explanation of his movements on the day of the events. And, to lubricate the decision to eject the Valencian president, he says that as long as no action is taken, Vox will gain ground. They are two opposing approaches, but they are basically seeking the same result: to encourage the PP to make a pact with the far right. To do this, each one adds one sauce or another to their survey, with the corresponding effect. But, ketchup or barbecue, Perrins or mustard, it's all the same. Pure masking.