A devastating study: more heat records and the Paris Agreement being scrapped before 2030.

BarcelonaThe effects of the climate crisis are becoming increasingly evident, and all reports predict that the situation will worsen in the coming years. The latest is the World Meteorological Organization's (WMO) annual decadal global climate bulletin, which concludes that there is a 70% chance that average global warming between 2025 and 2029 will exceed 1.5°C compared to pre-industrial levels (100).

This figure was set in the Paris Agreement as the limit for warming this century to avoid the worst effects of climate change, but it has now been surpassed and is on the verge of extinction. According to the report, the chances of the global heat record of 2024, the year in which the Earth already exceeded 1.5°C on average above pre-industrial values for the first time, increase by 80% before 2030.

This accelerated global warming will lead to increasingly severe heat waves and, in turn, will lead to an increase in extreme weather events, such as torrential rains and increasingly severe and historic droughts, such as the one we recently experienced in Catalonia.

The study warns that these changes in the global climate will increase the risks and impact on society, the economy, and sustainable development across the planet. The report also concludes that all of this will lead to an even more accelerated melting of Arctic glaciers, where warming will be 3.5 times greater than the global average, with 2.4 degrees above the average reference temperature (1991-2020). This will also raise sea and ocean levels.