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    <title><![CDATA[Ara in English - election poll]]></title>
    <link><![CDATA[https://en.ara.cat/etiquetes/election-poll/]]></link>
    <description><![CDATA[Ara in English - election poll]]></description>
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    <ttl>10</ttl>
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      <title><![CDATA[A dark photo of Catalonia]]></title>
      <link><![CDATA[https://en.ara.cat/antoni-bassas-analysis/dark-photo-of-catalonia_1_5726545.html]]></link>
      <description><![CDATA[<p><img src="https://static1.ara.cat/clip/13226f4b-a76b-4630-bef6-52f48e197765_16-9-aspect-ratio_default_0.jpg" /></p><p>The poll we published in ARA this weekend dared to put numbers on the political reality, which, no matter how much scientific basis the work has, always ends up causing an endless discussion. Especially when there are still more than two years to go until the parliamentary elections, if the Illa government manages to complete the legislature, because the political, economic, and social situation is only getting more tangled.This is the first observation: the growing discontent would not be directed against the PSC, nor against Esquerra or Comuns, who support it, but would take the form of a historic shift of a large part of the country's electorate towards the far-right, curiously not large enough to force a change of government but sufficient to send Junts from second to fifth position.The growth of Alianza Catalana and Vox is more than probable (we'll see if in these proportions), and it's noticeable as soon as you step outside. The protest vote against everything, especially with the extraordinary increase in immigration that Catalonia has experienced, would take the form of the far-right, exactly as happens in all democracies. But the case of Catalonia, with its own political system and the strong influence of the Spanish political system, would present some elements to consider.The idea that ““és català tot aquell que viu i treballa a Catalunya (i ho vol ser)”” has been blown to pieces. A good part of the Catalanist voter doubts the strength that that powerful machine for “fer catalans”, which were the street, the school, the economy, the television, and the income difference with Spain, could now have, which without having its own state yielded extraordinary results. They doubt because countries with their own states like France and the United Kingdom have many problems, and because the mix of an immigrant influx, a digital cultural bubble, religious differences, and the marginalization of Catalan in schools and the legal inferiority of the language seems like a perfect storm for Catalan identity. And however aggressive Aliança Catalana's expressions towards Muslims may be, a sense of urgency prevails. In the case of Vox, the growth factors would be the <em>Spanish nationalist</em> reaction to immigration, to separatism, and to Pedro Sánchez's government, which is dragging on for them. Economic problems for many families, uncertainty for young people, an inaccessible housing market, bleak prospects in the labor market, artificial intelligence... The punishment vote, on the contrary, is served.It is not so strange that Orriols and Rufián are the best-rated politicians. To be rated, you first have to be known, and Rufián's star has not stopped growing, especially in Spain, and from this Spanish circuit, he grows in Catalonia. And Orriols, although less known, is on everyone's lips. However, personal rating and votes do not always go together. History is full of highly rated but poorly voted politicians.Good morning.</p>]]></description>
      <dc:creator><![CDATA[Antoni Bassas]]></dc:creator>
      <guid isPermaLink="true"><![CDATA[https://en.ara.cat/antoni-bassas-analysis/dark-photo-of-catalonia_1_5726545.html]]></guid>
      <pubDate><![CDATA[Mon, 04 May 2026 08:22:06 +0000]]></pubDate>
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      <media:title><![CDATA[260429 analysis.00 04 48 22.Still image002]]></media:title>
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      <subtitle><![CDATA[The idea that "everyone who lives and works in Catalonia (and wants to be) is Catalan" has gone up in smoke. A good part of the Catalanist voter doubts the strength that the powerful machine of "making Catalans" that was the street, the school, the economy, television, and the income difference with Spain, which without having its own state yielded extraordinary results, may now have.]]></subtitle>
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