Pedro Sánchez's evil calendar continues until 2027.

BarcelonaSpanish President Pedro Sánchez dismissed his right-hand man for corruption and ruled out elections. However, if this is the case, what lies ahead won't be easy: he'll have to face other events already crowded in the calendar presented by the judiciary, the Constitutional Court, and the ballot box. Not to mention what could unforeseen events unfold.

The first important date awaits is the Constitutional Court's plenary session on the amnesty law. Starting on June 23, it must debate the appeal filed by the People's Party (PP) against the law. The plenary session is scheduled to run until June 27, but the president, Cándido Conde-Pumpido, wants to issue a ruling that week. The draft prepared by the vice president of the Constitutional Court, the progressive Inmaculada Montalbán, approves the law's constitutionality. What the ruling will not address, because it was not part of the PP's appeal, is whether the crime of embezzlement is eligible for amnesty. Therefore, the Constitutional Court has yet to address the issue. Nothing will be resolved that directly affects former President Carles Puigdemont. and the rest of the 2017 leaders. It remains to be seen whether, during the plenary debate during the Sant Joan week, some elements of the draft will be modified.

The same week that the Constitutional Court will debate the amnesty, the spotlight will also shift to the Supreme Court, which will make key statements in the latest part of the Koldo case that has put Sánchez on the ropes. The core of the case has been summoned: former Transport Minister José Luis Ábalos and his advisor Koldo García will testify again as defendants on June 24, and the following day, June 25, Cerdán will be summoned. Until now, the PSOE's organizational secretary had immunity, and the Supreme Court could not charge him directly without a request for a pardon. However, upon leaving the minutes of the Congress, it is most likely that the Supreme Court will formally charge him after finding "consistent evidence" against him in the report from the Civil Guard's UCO (Union of the Civil Guard). That same week, Sánchez will be in The Hague to participate in the NATO summit, where the debate on defense spending is another headache for the Spanish president.

On Monday, the Supreme Court decided to prosecute the Attorney General, Álvaro García Ortiz, for disclosure of secrets, but the ruling has not yet been finalized. García Ortiz has already announced that he will file an appeal to prevent the opening of the trial. The ruling on this request is expected in late June or early July. In any case, the prosecutor has ruled out resigning.

Amid the political and judicial controversy, the Cabinet must also make a significant economic decision soon: it has until June 27th to take a position on BBVA's takeover bid for Banc Sabadell, and could do so at the last Cabinet meeting of the month, on June 24th, Saint John's Day. It must determine whether to set new conditions in the "general interest" for BBVA's hostile takeover bid for the bank chaired by Josep Oliu and, therefore, decide whether to complicate (or outright frustrate) the BBVA operation. Pedro Sánchez, during a visit to the Círculo de Economía (Economic Circle), announced a public consultation to gauge public opinion on this operation. In Catalonia, political and social actors are pressuring him to stop it.

According to the investiture agreement between the PSC and ERC, the Spanish Nationalist Party (PSC) and the Catalan Left (ESC) must agree on the new singular financing model during the first half of 2025, within the framework of the bilateral commission. However, this week, both the Republicans and the Spanish government have admitted they will be late. Only the Catalan government says it is keeping to the deadlines. According to the agreement, the Catalan government should be able to collect personal income tax starting in 2026.

A hearing is scheduled for July 15th at the Court of Justice of the European Union on whether the amnesty for embezzlement is compatible with European law. This is one of three preliminary rulings on the law opened in Luxembourg by the Court of Auditors, the High Court of Justice of Catalonia, and the National Court. However, the key ruling is not expected until the end of the year.

Although there are no dates yet on the calendar, developments are expected in the other two cases surrounding Sánchez. The case of his wife, Begoña Gómez, is still under investigation; and the case of his brother, David Sánchez, has already opened a trial. However, the High Court of Justice of Extremadura is awaiting a ruling on the express jurisdiction of the leader of the PSOE (Spanish Socialist Workers' Party) in Extremadura, Miguel Ángel Gallardo, also charged in the case and which the judge has described as a fraud. Because he was not tried in the first instance, Gallardo had other members of the PSOE (Spanish Socialist Workers' Party) list resign in order to become a member of the Extremadura Parliament.

After more than a decade of investigation, the National Court is scheduled to begin the Pujol family trial on November 10. It plans fifty sessions until April 23, 2026. The defense will discuss the PP's dirty war against them.

The National Court has set the start date for the Kitchen case trial in May and June 2026. Former minister Jorge Fernández Díaz and the former deputy minister, Francisco Martínez, will be in the dock. The trial will focus on the operation to spy on former PP treasurer Luis Bárcenas from within the government and steal information that could harm the PP. The prosecution is seeking 15 years in prison for them. Martínez is currently facing charges for another case of money laundering and the sale of private data, for which he has spent several days in pretrial detention.

The first electoral date the Spanish government will face—Sánchez has ruled out elections—will be the regional elections in Castile and León and Andalusia. The PSOE had pinned its hopes on the latter: it intends, with the candidacy of Spanish Vice President María Jesús Montero, to wrest the presidency from the Popular Party's Juanma Moreno Bonilla.

If Sánchez manages to hold out for another two years, his term would end in the spring of 2027, when municipal elections and those for most of the autonomous regions are scheduled. The Spanish elections would be held in the summer, but one scenario is that he could move them forward, combining them with the municipal and autonomous regional elections. It would be a major electoral event, and he would be putting everything on one card. In the Catalan Parliament, in principle, elections are not scheduled until 2028.