How many undecideds remain two weeks before the elections?
The majority are women, centrist and who have sympathy for the PSOE
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BarcelonaIn any type of election, one of the parties' obsessions is fishing among the pool of undecided voters to try to expand their electoral support. According to data from the ARA poll, ahead of November 29th, there is still 13% of people who intend to go vote, but who have not yet decided which ballot they will choose. What profile do these voters have?
If we analyze it by gender, the majority of undecided voters are women (63%), and by age, the highest percentage of people who still do not know who to vote for are those in the 50 to 64 age range (35%). They are followed by voters between 35 and 49 years old (27%), and people between 25 and 34 years old are the ones who hesitate the least (11%).
How do they define themselves ideologically? The majority (64%) place themselves in the center. People who consider themselves on the left represent 30% and those on the right make up a very small part of this pool of undecided voters (6%), a fact that proves that the right-wing voter is the one who is most mobilized at this moment.
However, parties have an opportunity to convince these undecided voters because the majority (55%) state that they have no sympathy for any party (33%) or do not know (22%). In other words, for now, they are not doubting between any specific party and, therefore, the center-left formations – if we take into account that the majority of undecided voters place themselves in this part of the ideological spectrum – are the ones that would have more options to fish within this pool.
For which party do they have the most sympathy?
Within this 13% of undecided voters, there are indeed some who have sympathy for a party. And here, the one with the most options is the PSOE, because there is 19% of respondents who see themselves reflected in it. According to the ARA poll, then, the socialists would have an opportunity to convince this percentage of people who have not yet decided their vote, but who, at the outset, have sympathy for Pedro Sánchez's candidacy.
Following this 19%, by far, are those who have sympathy for the PP (7%) and those of the Broad Front (6%). At 3% there are the undecided voters who have sympathy for ERC and for Vox, 2% lean towards Podemos and 1% for Adelante Andalucía.