On Friday morning, half the world breathed a sigh, not only because Donald Trump hadn't won his coveted Nobel Peace Prize, but also because the winner was close to him, and therefore his potential anger was partly appeased. In fact, María Corina Machado, being cautious, called him to tell him that he deserved it more than her and that she dedicated it to him. Trump boasts of having stopped eight conflicts, which isn't entirely true, and on Monday he will be in Jerusalem and also in Sharm al-Sheikh, the Egyptian resort where the peace agreement will be signed, to receive all the tributes he so desires. However, the question is whether this will be enough to satisfy his ego and, if not, what he will do. For now, his unpredictability continues in all areas, and the unknowns remain.
In the geostrategic sphere, the two hotbeds of conflict that remain alive, beyond Gaza, are Ukraine and Venezuela. In the former case, Russia ends Alaska talks momentum And almost all bridges with Vladimir Putin have been broken, which portends the continuation of the war. Secondly, and further spurred by the Nobel Prize for his opposition ally, it seems that Trump will continue to take advantage of his war against drug trafficking to destabilize Maduro's regime even more so. No one knows for sure what might happen in Latin America in general from now on.
The clearest point of tension now on the international scene, however, is tariffs and, specifically, tariffs with ChinaEarly Friday morning, Trump announced that he would raise tariffs to 100% on November 1st in retaliation for Xi Jinping's draconian new regulations on rare earths. The conflict, which seemed to have subsided in recent months, with several bilateral negotiations taking place, has flared up again, and even the planned meeting between the two leaders later this month in South Korea within the framework of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) forum is in jeopardy. This will be an intense month in which the global economy, which has grown accustomed to uncertainty, will once again tremble awaiting the reactions of both leaders.
However, all of this pales in comparison to what is happening in the interior of the country. The Economist He analyzed these days how the fact that, for the first time in many years, clean immigration in the United States could be zero or negative will negatively affect the economy in the long run. The campaign of mass deportations has had its effect, and not only is the entry of new immigrants, and therefore, labor, being prevented, but a large part of the existing workforce is also being expelled, doing so in inhumane ways and without many legal guarantees. Those who oppose him are considered traitors, and that's why he is militarizing Democratic cities, like Chicago and Los Angeles, that are trying to prevent these atrocities. For now, he has already sent the National Guard to four cities and threatened two others. The climate of internal terror is increasingly intense.
And so, while he laments that they won't give him the Nobel Peace Prize, the rest of the world will continue to ask itself every day: What else will Trump do now?
