France

The French stock market responds with falls to a possible new government crisis.

Prime Minister François Bayrou will face a vote of confidence on September 8.

BarcelonaFrench Prime Minister François Bayrou announced on Monday that he will submit to a vote of confidence on September 8th.cuts of 44 billion eurosto the 2026 budget; a referendum that will fall just before the first major protest called for the 10th. In response to the news, the French stock market opened Tuesday trading lower. The CAC40, the main French index, rose with losses of over 2.5%, which eased throughout the morning. At midday, the index was down 1.72%.

The market reaction points to the possible new government crisis facing France. If the Prime Minister fails to overcome the vote of no confidence in the National Assembly—a possible scenario, given that the centrists and conservatives who support him do not have an absolute majority—he would have to resign, and a new government crisis would ensue. Marine Le Pen's party and the environmentalists have already announced that they will not support Bayrou.

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Of the 40 companies that make up the CAC40, up to 10 have started the session falling between 2.5% and 6.5%. The falls were led by the banking company Société Générale, with -6.59%, followed by Crédit Agricole (-5.71%), Vinci (-5.47%), BNP (-5.42%), AXA Uap (-4.98%), Thales (-4.48%), Alstom (-4, -4, -4, -4.3%) among others.

Bayrou's cuts

In mid-July, the French Prime Minister announced a budget cuts plan in response to France's debt overhang. This four-year plan to clean up public finances is based primarily on reducing public spending across the board, with the sole exception of defense. Among the most notable measures are the elimination of 3,000 civil service jobs, a freeze on social benefits next year, and the elimination of two national holidays.

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Bayrou wanted to convey the gravity of the moment by comparing the current situation in France with that ofGreece in 2010, when it had to be rescued"We must never forget the example of Greece," said the French prime minister.

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"We have grown accustomed to deficits. Our country has not presented a balanced budget for more than fifty years," he lamented. Bayrou announced that the goal is to save €43.8 billion in next year's budget. France recorded a deficit of 5.8% of GDP last year, the highest in the eurozone and far from the 3% limit set by Brussels. With this plan, the objective is to reduce it to 4.6% in 2026 and reach 2.8% in 2029.

In his appearance on Monday, Bayrou declined to discuss the measures presented in July and asserted that, first, what needs to be discussed is whether France has a problem with "immediate danger." He also asserted that the measures to be taken must be negotiated with social stakeholders and political parties.