The first polls on the May 12 elections, published this Monday in El Español and La Razón, point to a clear victory for the PSC, with a majority of between 36 and 42 seats, and give second place to Junts, which would overtake ERC at the polls. According to these surveys, therefore, Pere Aragonès's party would be the main loser compared to the 2021 elections. The commons could also suffer the consequences of the early elections, protagonists in recent weeks of the legislature for their no

It's well known that polls create frameworks that later end up influencing reality, so it's difficult to know which comes first, the chicken or the egg. The latest batch of polls published today by the Madrid press points to a hypothesis already suggested by other polls published before and which threatens to make Alberto Núñez Feijóo suffer: the strength of Vox, combined with the weakness of Sumar, could threaten the PP's first place and create a scenario in which the PSOE. The left would not win in any case, of course, but it would be a result that would leave Feijóo very damaged, who would be a losing president and in the hands of Vox.

Today's day swings between some important news from yesterday and what's coming up next week, also important, which awaits us. And in between, some news from this morning: after denying it on numerous occasions, BBVA has finally contradicted its words and has improved its offer for Banc Sabadell by 10% and improved tax rates for shareholders. The battle between Carlos Torres and Josep Oliu continues. If you're already up to your necks, remember that the series ends in 15 days.

Almost a year after the victory Labour in the UK general election, Prime Minister Keir Starmer's popularity is plummeting. And that of the populist and xenophobic Nigel Farage, leader of the Reform Party –the same politician who did not rest until to provoke a divorce with the European Union nine years ago, it's been through the roof. So much so that, in recent days, various polls have given it a good chance of becoming one. premier. Or at least win the elections if they were held tomorrow and not in the summer of 2029, when they are scheduled to be called.

That figures produce a feeling of accuracy, of rigorous knowledge, is something as well known as it is disputed. But without taking it to the more philosophical point of whether measuring is knowing or not, it must be said that the figures given, especially in social matters, should always be applied with a critical sense to avoid false illusions. And since we are now more sensitive than ever to fake news, it is worth noting that it is also with figures that it is particularly easy to deceive, whether intentionally or not. Therefore, without the intention of being exhaustive in such a short space, I will show five mistakes that information often falls into when it is based on data, and what confusions of analysis and perception they can create.