We are now on the eve of Sant Jordi's Day, the most anticipated and massive cultural event of the year in Catalonia, which fills the streets all over the country with people to see the rose and book stalls. An event full of identity and emotions that no one wants to miss. Therefore, the weather forecast takes on special relevance, to know if we can enjoy the outdoors on this day without the rain spoiling it. Will it rain this Sant Jordi? Will we have to grab an umbrella or sunglasses?

Economists are often asked to give an opinion on what we predict will happen in the economy, especially in light of the events we are experiencing. For my part, I usually answer that the correct answer is that I have no idea, but that out of courtesy to the asker I can anticipate, more from experience than from certain knowledge, that... I will not make jokes about economists' forecasts, but in our defense I will highlight the complexity of a moment in which geopolitics is the cause of uncertainties, in which what intervenes is a set of interdependent factors and, even more so, driven by the character who today leads the White House. This geopolitical framework has as a forecast more than a single economic variable, to which an element of risk can be associated. And when risks are chained, the probability of each forecast, which we obtain by multiplying by a value less than 1, becomes very low. Everything depends on everything! So that, despite the fact that today we have, unlike in the past, better forecasting tools and more reaction instruments than ever, these situations, increasingly complex and interconnected, are more difficult to anticipate. The safety net falls, logistics or the transport of goods breaks down, the value chain is lost and everything is paralyzed at once.This generates a certain frustration: economic science cannot anticipate, avoid, or sufficiently correct cycles or their effects on people's well-being! In the Middle Ages, science in general had less to say than today to set the world aright. Today, there are more things that were previously considered exogenous, which could not be influenced, that are no longer so. The world's misery, lack of water, hunger, loss of health, inequality: we know they are treatable and we can act on them. And even though we know we can, we don't. This cannot leave us with a clear conscience.We live in a world of exciting progress in the field of technology, but which frightens us later, seen up close; they generate as much hope as fear. Innovations that question many jobs, assets — as it has settled in. MAGA already has roots.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) on Monday raised its economic growth forecasts for 2026 for the global economy, the eurozone, the United States, China, and Spain. The organization noted that "headwinds [to growth] stemming from changing trade policies are offset by tailwinds linked to increased investment in technology, including artificial intelligence (AI), more so in North America and Asia than in other regions," according to its report.

After another sweltering summer, this Monday, September 22nd, astronomical autumn officially arrives, although the meteorological season began on September 1st. It will begin at 8:19 p.m., according to the National Astronomical Observatory, and that's when the equinox occurs. The new season will last almost 90 days, until December 21st, when winter arrives.

Optimism. This is the mood of the business leaders participating in the 36th Business Meeting in the Pyrenees. According to the 2025 Economic Barometer, a survey of attendees to capture business perceptions of the economy and its future, 85.71% of participants have good revenue prospects compared to last year; furthermore, 55.33% of attendees anticipate profit growth compared to 2024. In fact, more than half, 68.52%, plan to create jobs in the next six months.

The heat of midsummer has arrived early this year, and it won't let up. After the atypical heat of late May, which set some records, another week is coming, bringing us completely out-of-character values for the first half of June. Temperatures will often be between five and eight degrees above average and will be more typical of the dog days. All of this is the result of the arrival of a bubble of very warm air from North Africa in our country.

The global economic outlook – with a war raging between Ukraine and Russia and an unchecked escalation of inflation – has changed a lot since the last predictions of the International Monetary Fund (IMF). This Tuesday, the organisation has published a significant downgrade in its estimates with regards to the ones it shared last January. In the case of Spain, the last few months of geopolitical turbulence have resulted in a reduction of the GDP forecast for 2022 by one percentage point, to 4.8%. The forecast for 2023 is also somewhat less optimistic and down five tenths, to 3.3%.