10 The campaign is half-way through and everything is still undecided. The strangest elections in the history of Catalonia reach the final stretch with maximum equality when it comes to defining a winner, with many votes still to be decided and with absolute uncertainty regarding post-electoral pacts. The ARA poll predicts a three-way technical tie with ERC slightly ahead, PSC in second place and JxCat in third. The Republicans would match the results of 2017, when they came in third, but it could be enough for them to achieve victory this time. With between 30 and 32 seats, the Socialists would follow them in the seat count in the Parliament, despite falling behind in number of votes and, with 29 or 30 MPs, the candidacy led by Carles Puigdemont does not lose track of the first position. Between ERC (21.8% of the votes), PSC (20.7%) and Junts (19.7%) there is not enough difference to be able to make a definitive prediction, bearing in mind that the margin of error of the poll is ±3.4%. Any of the three could win.

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